With the US labor market so resilient and inflation receding only slowly, markets may be wondering why the Federal Reserve is easing policy at all. A reading above +0.2% for core consumer prices on Wednesday could convince futures to start giving up on even one cut this year...
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These are the companies that play the largest role in moving the S&P 500:
AAPL - 7.58% ; NVDA - 6.59%; MSFT - 6.27%; AMZN - 4.11%; GOOGL - 4.02%
These are 5 of the Mag 7 stocks! They carry 28.57% of the entire S&P 500! It's easy to see how these 5 sway the S&P 500 DAILY! WOW!
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NEW EPISODE of CB3 LIVE! - Update:
WOW! 2024 was a 20%+ year, just like 2023! What about 2025? What is ahead for Trump, Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal??
ALL or ANY of these can and will affect the markets and our portfolios! LISTEN NOW! We will see you next Thursday night for the January edition of CB3LIVE!
Listen on Apple Podcasts:
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cb3-live-update-ep-32-the-art-of-the-deal/id1753802917?i=1000683798045
Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/6NZF5yrf27xdcFZf6Ui29A?si=8ad9bb04326c4f28
Or wherever you get your podcasts!
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Last week, the market closed with losses. Rising interest rates were a big driving factor in last week's action, reflecting worries about sticking inflation and that the FED may maintain higher interest rates for an extended period of time into 1H 2025. I think it's a pause...
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A Labor Department report showed job growth unexpectedly accelerated in December while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% as the labor market ended the year on a strong note. However, the markets took this omen as a sign there will be few if any interest rate cuts in 1H25. UGGH!
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Friday's selling has definitely caused some technical damage, with all of the major indexes below their respective moving averages. Next week, earnings season will kick into high gear, with major banks set to report, followed by thousands of companies over the next several weeks.
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Federal workers are uncomfortable in the spotlight, and Trump has threatened to strip civil service protections from thousands of them. Ramaswamy and Musk have suggested that cutting a million federal jobs within a YEAR is a reasonable target. This WILL affect the markets!
A Hedge Fund Manager Should Be Able to Run Treasury! Bessent’s track record shows he’s well-placed. He is a fiscal hawk who will positively affect the economy and the markets. He wants to rein in spending and get the Secretary of the Treasury back in line with the markets. GOOD!
It's Black Friday!! Wall Street ended Wednesday on a high note, with the small-cap Russell 2000 index hitting a record peak, while Treasury yields plunged following Trump’s pick of Scott Bessent as U.S. Treasury Secretary. The Trump Trade continues to our clients' great favor!
Clients and readers: We appreciate your trust and partnership this Thanksgiving. As we reflect on our journey together, we’re thankful for the opportunity to help secure your financial future. Wishing you and yours a bountiful holiday filled with joy, warmth, and prosperity.
Stocks closed at all-time highs Tuesday as investors set aside concerns over how Trump’s tariffs will affect American companies and instead cheered Israel’s decision to accept a cease-fire in Lebanon. Equities extended gains into a 7th straight day; S&P 500 hit its 52nd record.
Trump heeds Wall Street w/Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary. Ultimately, the drama-filled search landed where it started — with a hedge fund executive who’d spent months methodically laying the groundwork for a nomination. Having a macro hedge fund guy is appealing to markets.
MOVE OVER GROVER!
#DonaldTrump is returning to the #WhiteHouse. How will his policies affect us in early 2025? Will our portfolios experience more — or less - volatility from the plethora of Trump’s economic policy changes.
CB3 LIVE! - Update. Ep 28: "Post-Election Insights"
CB3 LIVE! - Update · Episode
open.spotify.com
Bessent’s nomination had a calming effect on markets. USD fell, and US govt. bonds rallied after Trump picked Bessent to run the Treasury. He's a Wall Street veteran who investors expect will take the sting out of the administration’s more aggressive trade and economic policies
On the speculative fringes, the risk-taking extravaganza isn’t just continuing—it’s getting bigger by the day. Heavy trading—and big price moves—in everything from crypto to leveraged ETFs was the story in a week where swings in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq finally started to abate...
