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WEEKLY UPDATE ~ Ep. 90 - Jobs Roar Back: Why a September Fed Hike Looks Likely
WEEKLY UPDATE ~ Ep. 90 - Jobs Roar Back: Why a September Fed Hike Looks Likely
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The August jobs report shattered expectations, with 162,000 new jobs, upward revisions to prior months, and unemployment holding at 4.1%. In this weekly market update, we examine why renewed hiring st...0 CommentsComment on Facebook
The AI boom is no longer confined to U.S. mega-cap earnings. It is becoming a global industrial and trade cycle involving foundries, advanced packaging, memory, networking, servers, power equipment and Asian exporters. That broadens the potential opportunity set—but it also introduces semiconductor-cycle risk. For portfolio analysis, I would distinguish companies benefiting from genuine shipment growth and pricing power from stocks that merely carry an “AI” label.
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Stock Market Today: Dow ends 400 points lower, S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall; 10-year Treasury yield hits a 20-month high and oil jumps on new U.S. strikes against Iran. Stocks close lower for a third straight day as global bond yields rise. Welcome to September...
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Labor Day setup: U.S. cash equity and bond markets are closed today, but overseas trading is giving us a useful preview for Tuesday. The dominant cross-currents are unusually clear: AI hardware is roaring, oil is again flirting with $100, and Friday’s strong payroll report has
August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000, substantially above expectations, while unemployment held at 4.1%. Friday’s response was distinctly hawkish: the two-year Treasury yield rose to about 4.37%, the S&P 500 fell 0.4%, and market pricing put the probability of a September rate
The AI boom is no longer confined to U.S. mega-cap earnings. It is becoming a global industrial and trade cycle involving foundries, advanced packaging, memory, networking, servers, power equipment and Asian exporters. That broadens the potential opportunity set—but it also
Stock Market Today: Dow ends 400 points lower, S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall; 10-year Treasury yield hits a 20-month high and oil jumps on new U.S. strikes against Iran. Stocks close lower for a third straight day as global bond yields rise. Welcome to September...
Dow ends lower but still logs fifth month of gains; Nasdaq and S&P 500 gain in August despite Brent oil above $90 and 30-year yields at 5.25%
Stocks were downbeat to close out a winning month as Iran hostilities flare up and the 10-year Treasury yield reaches 4.75%.
Those of
The U.S.' six-month war with Iran is showing signs of escalation again. The two countries traded fire for the first time in more than a month, with the U.S. military striking Iranian rocket launchers and Iran aiming missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan. The economic war continues as
Morning setup: Risk assets begin the week under pressure after renewed U.S.–Iran fighting around the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil sharply higher. S&P 500 and Dow futures were down about 0.2%, Nasdaq-100 futures about 0.1%, while Brent crude jumped roughly 3.4% to $91.10 and WTI
the AI boom is no longer confined to U.S. mega-cap earnings. It is becoming a global industrial and trade cycle involving foundries, advanced packaging, memory, networking, servers, power equipment and Asian exporters. That broadens the potential opportunity set—but it also
Brent crude futures fell for a third straight day on Wednesday, sliding more than 2% to roughly $86 per barrel on the prospect of more supply coming through the Strait of Hormuz. If this move is sustained, it would amount to the biggest weekly drop in oil prices since June.
The
